2A Baseball Playoff Predictions


ballfan
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Joined: Mar 2007
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Here's an early (April 22) prediction (read: total guess) on the teams and seedings for the 2A baseball playoffs: 1. St. Mary's 2. El Cerritto 3. Northgate 4. Piedmont 5. Miramonte 6. Campo 7. Alhambra 8.Moreau 9. Concord 10. Los Lomas 11. Encinal 12. Albany Curious what others think at the 1/2 way plus point of league play. Fire away! [oops - original post left out Alhambra]
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ballfan
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Joined: Mar 2007
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Actual seeding: 1. Northgate (never faltered and finished strong); 2. St. Mary's; 3. Campo; 4. Alhambra; 5. El Ceritto; 6. Miramonte; 7. Piedmont; 8. Albany (much improved since mid-point); 9. Las Lomas; 10. Concord; 11. Encinal; 12. Moreau Catholic (held off strong bid by Heritage) Predicted winners in Round 1: Las Lomas (if Peterson throws); El Ceritto, Piedmont (if Remer throws); and Encinal (upset pick) Also, see Prep Corner for other predictions in 2A and 3A: http://www.ibabuzz.com/prepcorner/2008/05/18/ncs-3-a-and-2-a-east-bay-ba...
ogre7
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Joined: Feb 2007
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i'll go in a slightly different direction, taking las lomas, el cerrito, concord and miramonte. miramonte has been so inconsistent it is hard to guess what they are going to do. if they play like they did in their last game against campo they will win but that is a big if. pitching is the key for the las lomas-albany and piedmont-concord games. how can las lomas not throw peterson? you can bet that northgate is hoping that they do otherwise they would face him if las lomas were able to get by without him. of course albany did beat peterson early in the season. remer vs hurlbut would be a great matchup which i think could go either way. i have not seen piedmont play this year but they look to be offensively challenged and if hurlbut is on he could shut them down.
ballfan
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Ogre: I pretty much agree with your reasoning. I have a feeling that Piedmont will not use Remer on Wed. - holding him back for Flemer and St. Mary's on Friday (assuming the Highlanders get by the Minutemen); instead look for Hurlbut v. Bryce Chu (who is very good #2). I believe the game is at Piedmont - therefore the odd field dimensions might be a factor - the team that can put the ball in play - preferably to RF, will have an advantage. Under these circumstances, I'll go with you on this one and say Hurlbut and Concord in a slight upset. Nothing to add to Encinal pick - just a gut feeling. The Jets might get 10-runned and it wouldn't surprise me.
ogre7
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having that strong #2 is one reason piedmont could go all the way despite the fact that i'm picking concord to beat them. i guess remer could close on wednesday if needed and be ok for st marys. i'm a little confused about the maxpreps stats for the piedmont pitchers as the individual game stats don't add up to the totals. did remer really only give up 11 hits in in 54 innings?
ballfan
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Always take the MaxPreps stats with a grain of salt. Having said that, Remer did no hit Salesian and only gave up a handful of hits to St. mary's in two appearances - so those stats are possible. Heard that albany beat LL 1-0 - no details as yet.
BSALfan
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Joined: May 2008
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Albany took Las Lomas 1-0 on a shutout from Kyle Shipley who upstaged Peterson by striking out 12 and allowing only 1 hit and 2 walks. Everyone picked Albany to lose this game, saying they couldn't beat Peterson, but this is a dangerous team, that scores a lot of runs and when their pitching comes through is tough to beat. For Northgate's sake I hope they don't take them lightly because I don't think Albany has forgotten what happened the last time these two played. If Piedmont can come up with some timely hitting they'll be very tough to beat. St. Mary's beat Remer twice earlier this year, but the third time will be very difficult. Should be some good matchups.
ballfan
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Joined: Mar 2007
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BSALfan: I agree that Albany cannot be taken lightly. I picked LL/Peterson on the basis that I didn't think Albany would score many runs off Peterson - they didn't, but as you say, Shipley did even better. I assume Stephney will start against Northgate. He throws hard, the key will be whether or not he can keep it in the strike zone. As for the other BSAL squads, you're right, Piedmont/Remer are very tough, but Flemer is a winner and St. Mary's has shown a lot of heart this year - come back wins and big comebacks even in their two league losses that fell just short. Friday could be a classic, but remember, Piedmont has to get by Concord tonight first.
Bru11
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Joined: Oct 2006
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There is no way NG will take Albany lightly. Most of these kids have played against each other for a long time. Albany hitters certainly have some impressive stats on Maxpreps. The real question is can Albany's number two take out the NG offense. I'm sure Albany will score some runs, but NG can flat out hit. If the wind stays strong tomorrow it will be a slug fest from both teams. By the way, what is the comment that Albany won't forget the last time these teams played? Was that the NCS playoff from a couple of years ago? if so, that was a wild back and forth game.
ogre7
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Joined: Feb 2007
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my first round picks were a weak 2 for 4, losing both of the pitcher's battles. in the second round, i'm taking northgate, alhambra, st.marys and miramonte but i don't have strong feelings about any of these games. i expect albany to score some runs against either bartlett or bataska but northgate should be able to outhit them - i'm guessing a pretty high scoring game. with waterman well rested you have to like alhambra over el cerrito who just doesn't have enough pitching to get it done. you have to question why they didn't try to save claus for round 2 but i guess that tells you a lot about lack of depth. st. marys - piedmont should be a great game - i think the winner of this game is the favorite to win the whole thing. great starting pitchers but i'm expecting a little more offense on the bigger college field. campolindo - miramonte is a toss up. campo has had awhile to think about their last outing against miramonte and that might not be a good thing. maybe some nerves with the young campo team, but what really matters is which miramonte team shows up. another high scoring game?
ballfan
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Joined: Mar 2007
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I believe I was a weak 2/4 as well - thems coin flip numbers. Must do better in Round 2. I am going to pick a couple different from Ogre, just to make things interesting. We agree on Northgate (although look for Albany to make it a contest) and St. Mary's (a walk, a sacrifice and a miscue may decide this one - runs should be scarce), but I'll take El Ceritto (pitching behind Claus not that bad) and Campo (looking at overall consistency, as opposed to recent results) in the other games. Hoping for better than 2/4, but we'll soon find out.
ballfan
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Joined: Mar 2007
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Looked again, I was a dismal 1-4 after ogre talked me into Concord. Yuck. Hoping for some redemption in round 2, or feel free to ignore whatever I say from here on out.
ogre7
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Joined: Feb 2007
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well the concord-piedmont and albany-las lomas games clearly could have easily gone the other way. i had the same initial thought regarding the el cerrito pitching but after a closer look it appears that claus had all the tough games and the others were facing much weaker competition. but don't let me talk you into anything!
interested
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Joined: Apr 2007
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Campolindo 6 Miramonte 2 2a Final Four: Northgate, El Cerrito, Campolindo, Piedmont
Bru11
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Great performance by the DFAL's top 3 teams. Northgate, Campo and College Park all in the semifinals. Northgate pounds Albany 17 to 4, while Campo and College Park get great pitching to advance. 3 tough games in the semis as Northgate goes aganist Max Claus and El Cerrito. Claus has pitched 18 innings in just over a week. Will he have anything left? Campo faces Bryce Chu and Piedmont. This should be a low scoring close game and College Park and Harmen Sidhu vrs Clayton Valley. Alot riding on Sidhu as Clayton Valley can swing it.
ogre7
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Joined: Feb 2007
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piedmont over campo 13 to 7 in a game that wasnt nearly as close as this lopsided score indicates. campo got a run in the first but piedmont put up 7 in the second knocking out wirth out after 2. gold gave up 6 more over the next 4 innings as piedmont hit the ball all over the place. campo picked up a couple in the sixth and rallied when chu came out in the 7th. but the game was never in doubt after the second.
interested
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Joined: Apr 2007
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The Campo starting pitcher decision was a debatable one as Gold seemed to have greater success and at least several of his runs were unearned. The game was indeed over in the second inning. Chu is as solid a #2 as you can see in a local HS team and would be the ace on most staffs. Piedmont's bats have appeared to come alive after gaining confidence Friday night against St. Mary's. Remer, Davis, Steady and Chu are swinging it. Congratulations to Campolindo for a great season. No one on this board expected them to tie for second in DFAL (ogre07 -- didn't you have them 6th? At least that's better than the Times, who had them 7th) and get a #3 seed in NCS with one of the younger starting lineups around. Northgate (an inexplicable #8 in the Times pre-season poll) performed as expected against El Cerrito although Bataska struggled. Piedmont is getting hot at the right time but faces a team that has been consistently strong all year and a crafty senior pitcher in Bartlett. NG's line up is relentless (Cartwright [the .500 BA is real folks], Johnson [32 RBIs], Dell'Anno, Kosturos, Pelayo and the underrated Krueger). As great as the Broncos' offense is, it will face a challenge in Remer. In their incredible run, Northgate hasn't faced a pitcher of Remer's quality, other than Dave Peterson. The 2A championship is an intriguing match up that will be worth watching (especially compared to Giants-Padres that afternoon or A's-Rangers Saturday night). And congrats to College Park for its remarkable 3A run and best of luck against Arroyo. Go DFAL!
ogre7
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Joined: Feb 2007
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good pitching beats good hitting as sidhu has proven in the 3A playoffs and piedmont is proving in 2A. i don't think the campo decision on a starting pitcher made a difference as piedmont hit gold pretty hard too. a lot of line drives out of the piedmont lineup and not many of the 15 odd hits were cheap ones. i did pick campo 6th and they were certainly the biggest surprise in the dfal this year. next year should be pretty interesting as campo and northgate should be early favorites with alhambra and miramonte returning strong teams. but as campo proved this year returning players are not necessarily the key. i have to go with piedmont on saturday based on pitching although northgate will certainly come after remer. would be nice to see both the the 2A and 3A champs come out of the DFAL in its last year.
Jake111
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Joined: Oct 2007
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Northgate, CP, Mt. D, and Concord move to the new league season. I think Northgate will find a way to win. I believe Barlett will good enough to shut down the usally light hitting Piedmont. (Campo game excluded) .224 overall team BA Northgate has some of the best fast ball hitters in the DFAL. They have beaten Peterson (2-0), Sidhu (6-0) and the lefthander Hurlbut twice. Fate is on Northgate's side this year!
interested
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Joined: Apr 2007
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After Northgate rallied to take 5-4 lead in bottom 5th, Jeremy George (Highlanders' #9 hitter) doubles to deep right, scoring two. Bryce Chu pitches two phenomenal innings to close it out: 6-5 Piedmont to cap a Cinderella run for the #7 seed. Piedmont's showing against Campo was no fluke -- they had 8 hits. A very entertaining high school baseball game.
Jake111
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Joined: Oct 2007
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Will it be Wirth or Gold for Campo? Gold got roughed up in the last meeting(on short rest). Miramonte bats are pretty hot, and they are playing at Campo with short porch in center which may come into play. I think Campo will win with a score of 8-5. Campo should hit Vacarro hard. Not much on the fastball but good offspeed, but in a 1 game playoff you never know.
ogre7
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Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 36
i'm still surprised that moreau beat out heritage. it seems like heritage had a much tougher schedule and ended up with a similar record. if heritage played in the haal i have to believe they finish ahead of moreau.
bucksavage
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Joined: Mar 2007
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Didn't Heritage beat De La Salle 8-1? But they finished with a losing record and Moreau was at .500.
ogre7
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Joined: Feb 2007
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you're right - but heritage played mostly 3A schools which should count for something.
bucksavage
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Joined: Mar 2007
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Heritage had a stronger performance over the season, but psychologically, the selectors probably looked at the 11-13 record and found it easier to pass them up.
Jake111
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Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 27
El Cerrito scored 2 in the 1st off a obviously over-pumped Bataska. He was a stud the rest of the game! The usual supects for Northgate pounded El Cerrito pitcher. Johnson HR, Kruger 3B 2rbi, Pelayo 2B, 1B, 3rbi, Cartwright 3 hits, Kosturous. on to The Coliseum!

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